The Bets: Saturday 11/12/22
Yesterday was the flu game for me. I’m fine going 2-3 having a fever of 101, kiss my ass
After the losses yesterday, we are down -1.16 Units to bring The Blogs total to….
+10.55 Units
College Football is my jam, let’s make some money
If you want to see my Full Card (so far I have 19 plays) please check out my Action Network mobile page!
Like always, I am limiting the blogs to 5 plays. Quick writing today since I’m running late, so expect these all to be short explinations
Missouri @ Tennessee 11:00 am CST
(Tennessee -19.5, O/U 57.5)
After losing to Georgia, Tennessee’s playoff hopes are shrinking. This Missouri team kept their game with Georgia within 4 points, while Tennessee lost by 2 touchdowns
If Tennessee doesn’t blow the doors off of this team at home, then their playoff chances may shrink to 0
They are going to RUN the score up
Tennessee -19.5 (-110)
Risk 1 Unit to win 0.91
LSU @ Arkansas 11:00 am CST
(LSU -3.5, O/U 61)
This game probably has me the most confused out of all of the plays today. When I first saw the spread, I thought “oh easy, Arkansas home dogs and LSU off of a HUGE win. Give me the points and the home team”.
I looked at the betting trends, over 70% of the bets were on LSU, and over 75% of the money on the Tigers too.
But then if you go to any gambler’s social, Arkansas is their best bet.
Everyone that calls themselves a handicapper says the Razorbacks are winners here, they cover may win outright.
After looking deeper into it, Brian Kelly is historically pretty good in these “let down” spots.
After his Notre Dame teams got big upset wins, they seem to always get off the mat and continue playing hard the following week.
I ain’t no square, this is a double reverse. Give me the favorites
LSU -3.5 (-105)
Risk 1 Unit to win 0.95
UCF @ Tulane 2:30 pm CST
(Tulane -1, O/U 54.5)
The “Green Wave” is just such a cool mascot
Tulane is the best group of 5 team in the country, and I am tired of the disrespect they are recieving
At home, New Orleans is going to be rocking. They love their football and a suspect UCF team should not be anything less than a 7 point dog.
Disrespectful spread, come get your money
Tulane -1 (-110)
Risk 1 Unit to win 0.91
Wisconsin @ Iowa 2:30 pm CST
(Pick’em, O/U 35.5)
DING DING DING! DAILY DOUBLE WINNER!
I don’t love it enough to be a true daily double, but I still love this spot
It is Big Ten football at its finest. You are lucky if there are 4 touchdowns in this entire game
Watching games like this is torture for anyone who likes points. But I like winning
Iowa is a better team, with that defense I don’t know how Wisconsin scores more than two field goals.
I think Iowa can get a touchdown, MAYBE even two
Iowa ML (-110)
Risk 1.5 Units to win 1.36
UNC @ Wake Forest 6:30 pm CST
(Wake Forest -4.5, O/U 78.5)
78.5 points… Holy shit
This is the HIGHEST total this college football season, and I am all over it
These defenses seriously do not play division 1 football. I don’t understand how a program like UNC can recruit such great talent on offense, but not the defensive side.
Speaking of, how the fuck is Wake favorites? Ridiculous. I’ll be betting UNC too, but for the blog, take this challenge.
Beat Vegas, tell them 78.5 is not enough. This game will have 100 points scored
UNC/Wake Forest Over 78.5 (-110)
Risk 1 Unit to win 0.91
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