The Bets: Thursday 11/24/22
Happy Thanksgiving everyone!
I got boned from the last blog trying to get fancy with that fucking Suns Same-Game-Parlay
Still, a positive day to start feast week. 3-2 from Monday gives us +0.25 Units to bring The Blog to a total of…
+11.87 Units
Six fantastic picks today. Three College Basketball, Three NFL!
If you want to see my Full Card (A few drunk live bets definitely coming in) please check out my Action Network mobile page!
Kansas @ Wisconsin 10:00 am CST
(Kansas -7.5, O/U 128.5)
Kansas has been flirting with fire these last few games
Winning by 5, 6, and 6 to Duke, Southern Utah (Who?), and NC State respectively
The Badgers have been playing very good team basketball as of late, with an upset win against Dayton last night to top off their 4-0 start.
Last year, Wisconsin was extremely underrated, and this year is some of the same.
Look for the Badgers to stay within the number here, and maybe even sneaking out a win
Wisconsin +7.5 (-110)
Risk 1 Unit to win 0.91
Buffalo @ Detroit 11:30 am CST
(Bills -9.5, O/U 54.5)
Detroit is coming off of a complete ass whopping on the Giants, they looked GOOD outdoors
Good news is, this Lions team is made for indoors, and the dome in Detroit is calling their name
Buffalo is still my favorite to win the Super Bowl, but I have a feeling they come out hot, go up by 20 by half, and take the foot off the gas pedal.
Letting Jared Geoff sneak into the back door and finish within the number
Lions +9.5 (-105)
Risk 1 Unit to win 0.95
New York (Giants) @ Dallas 3:30 pm CST
(Cowboys -10.5, O/U 45.5)
DING! DING! DING!
I absolutely love this spot. This is my favorite type of game to bet on here
Dallas just absolutely SMACKED the Vikings, who were supposedly co-favorites to win the NFC.
It was so bad that CBS had to change the game to the Bengals. Too many calls about a rape being televised
Meanwhile, the Giants got rocked by the Lions, and their run game looked awful.
Spread then SKYROCKETS from 6.5 to 10.5
Listen, I love the Cowboys this year. I’ve said never bet trends, but it is a fact the past 11 Thanksgivings, the Cowboys have only covered in 1
TRUE daily double today
Giants +10.5 (-110)
Risk 2 Units to win 1.82
Florida @ Xavier 4:30 pm CST
(Xavier -1.5 O/U 149.5)
Both teams are 3-1, so lets look at their losses
Xavier lost to a decent Indiana team by 2, while also being 2 point dogs
Florida lost to a “meh” FAU team by 2, while being 12.5 point FAVORITES
And on top of it, Xavier just has Florida’s number. Absolutely MURDERED them last year
Xavier is the right play
Xavier -1.5 (-110)
Risk 1 Unit to win 0.91
New England @ Minnesota 7:20 pm CST
(Vikings -2.5, O/U 42.5)
Kirk Cousins in prime time, yikes
This game honestly should be close to a pick ‘em
If I see the number sneak up to 3.5 I am going to blow the load
But the fact is this is New England’s game to win
Vikings are not a good team, Bill Belichick is going to shut down that Vikings offense
Patriots +2.5 (+100)
Risk 1 Unit to win 1
Alabama @ Michigan State 9:30 pm CST
(Bama -3.5 O/U 145.5)
I’m going to go on record and say this is the year Bama fumbles in the SEC for basketball
I don’t believe in the roster that Nate Oats has put together here, and I hate to say it but I love Izzo early in the season
Izzo is great in spots where he can be sneaky. Early in the year and teams/scouts are still figuring shit out, that is when Izzo is going to strike.
Take. The. Points
Michigan State +3.5 (-110)
Risk 1 Unit to win 0.91
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