The Bets: Thursday 11/17/22
I’m back. Was gone, now back
Haven’t been healthy enough to write but now I am ready.
I’ve still been gambling since my writing absence, and I am on fire, just look at my Action Network (mobile) page
Just look at this performance since Sunday, November 11
Oh yeah baby, all me. PLUS 11 Units
Now, I am obviously not counting this towards the blog record and total, but lets get into that…
Saturday was very up and down. Nailed Tennessee coming out hot, and was completely right on the daily double of Iowa.
It hurt when LSU failed to cover by only a half point and when UNC/Wake had 67 of the 78.5 points with 5 minutes left in the THIRD QUARTER, and only scored 3 more for the rest of the game…
Tulane was awful, I was dead wrong they are not the best Group of 5 team. UCF clearly is…
2-3 with a daily double win means we went down -0.64 Units to bring The Blog’s total to….
+9.91 Units
Love Thursday nights, and I have 4 great bets in 3 games. 2 of them worth watching. Let’s get back in double digits positive
I have a couple of extra plays that I will be betting on tonight. If you would like to see them, follow along on my Action Network mobile page!
But now, for the Blog’s picks…
SMU @ Tulane 6:00 pm CST
(Tulane -3.5, O/U 65.5)
Last week I was dead wrong about Tulane. They are not as good as I thought.
But they still GASH opponents with their rush. Big chunk plays over and over again that puts points up on the board.
SMU has a very similar strategy, their offense just chunks off rushes of 5-15 yards every play.
This is going to be a spot where points are going to be handed out so frequently.
This over cashes late in the 3rd quarter, maybe early in the 4th.
Check out the Action Network page, I may do a crazy alternate line on this over to get more value!
SMU/Tulane Over 65.5 (-105)
Risk 1 Unit to win 0.95
Tennessee @ Green Bay 7:15 pm CST
(Packers -3.5, O/U 41)
The Packers just embarrassed the shit out of the Dallas Cowboys last Sunday. The epic comeback was just what Rodgers needed
Green Bay fans have been super worried about this team, but that win should solidify they are a good team
But Tennessee ain’t no slack. Mike Vrabel literally said he would chop his dick off for a Super Bowl, and you’re going to have to play against that man’s team.
The Titans aren’t good, let me get out in front and say that. They make the playoffs, but they are not built for a deep run this year. They are very run-heavy and one-dimensional.
But you do not need to be able to pass the ball to beat the Packers. Derrick Henry is going to love playing in the cold because after a half hour on the field, no defense wants to tackle him
Green Bay beat Dallas through their rushing attack, and Tennessee has a top 5 rush defense. The Packers’ rush defense is currently rated at 26 out of the 32 NFL teams, and that weakness is about to be exposed.
The number jumping from a 1-point spread to a 3.5-point spread from just the one victory from the Packers on Sunday is such an overreaction.
Don’t just bet on last week’s performances. This game won’t be decided by more than a field goal
Titans +3.5 (-115)
Risk 1 Unit to win 0.87
I also love the total here. Lots of running, lots of punts. Give me the under!
Titans/Packers Under 41 (-107)
Risk 1 Unit to win 0.93
San Antonio @ Sacramento 9:00 pm CST
(Kings -7.5, O/U 236.5)
Again, NBA before Christmas sucks. I probably won’t be watching this game but I always like to bet on a game or two here and there to test my Basketball gambling IQ
The Kings are indeed hot. Winners of 4 straight, besting some pretty good playoff teams in Cleveland, Golden State, and Brooklyn
Spurs are on a cold spell, only winning 1 game in November so far. However, they have stayed within the spread in 4 of their last 5.
I think Pop can make a good game plan against a Kings team that doesn’t handle success very well. Kings definitely win, but I think the Spurs stays withing the 7.5
San Antonio +7.5 (-107)
Risk 1 Unit to win 0.93
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