The Bets: Sunday 11/20/22
Well, Bo Nix played, and the Ducks got our big bet of the day a win to really help out our unit total
2-3 Yesterday hurts, but the Daily Double in Oregon being one of the two winners does help. -0.73 Units brings us to…
+9.00 Units
Today I am feeling very confident with my Daily Double, enough to make it a TRUE Daily Double, so let’s talk about the five games for NFL
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Like always, I am limiting the blogs to 5 plays. Let’s go. Apologies if people miss the first two games. oops
Philledelphia @ Indianapolis 12:00 pm CST
(Eagles -7, O/U 46)
Ding! Ding! Ding! HERE IT IS!
The first TRUE Daily Double since the first Saturday I posted. This game is so obvious it hurts.
Before last Sunday, this spread was 10.5, and I loved it then. If it still were I would have to break out past the Daily Double and go into game-of-the-year territory….
But, Alas, it went down to 7. Still love it
The Eagles STINK
Their best win is at home against Minnesota during primetime. If you know anything about Kirk Cousins, you know he is terrible during primetime. Especially on the road.
Philly cannot stop the run and has been strangely productive with their running backs who are admittedly NOT good.
This one stinks to high heaven. Maybe even a play to bet the Colts outright. But let’s just take the points and the EASY win
Indianapolis +7 (-115)
Risk 2 Units to win 1.74
Chicago @ Atlanta 11:00 am CST
(Falcons -3, O/U 48.5)
So, I thought this next statement was a hot take, but after saying it to some friends (who are Bears fans) I am worried I may be late coming to this conclusion…
Justin Fields is just a better version of Lamar Jackson
The dude can run, and the dude can throw. Yes, I know that the team doesn’t trust him to throw, but that may also be because his best receivers would be lucky to be the 3rd option on most teams that are over .500
Chicago probably should win this game outright. Last week they beat the Lions but then threw the game last minute. Was actually really smart for the upcoming draft to get better positioning there.
Back the Bears
Chicago +3 (-110)
Risk 1 Unit to win 0.91
Las Vegas @ Denver 388amp:05 pm CST
(Broncos -3, O/U 41.5)
Another underdog that I love. Like the Bears, should win outright
The Raiders own the Broncos, this “Rivalry” is similar to Patriots-Jets and Packers-Bears
One team just dominates the other. Every. Single. Year.
Vegas will just run the ball down Denver’s throat, an easy win
Las Vegas +3 (-105)
Risk 1 Unit to win 0.95
Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh 3:25 pm CST
(Bengals -4, O/U 39.5)
I have a confession… I absolutely love the Steelers.
So much so, that I see a world where they win 6 of their next 8 to keep Tomlin’s “.500 or better” record alive
I’m going to consider finding their live team total for wins and taking the over
TJ Watt is just so fucking good. The entire defense plays so much better.
When the defense looks good, then the offense plays with confidence, knowing if they make a mistake it won’t be world-ending.
Low scoring game. A field goal is going to be the deciding factor. Whether that’s for Cincinatti or Pitt I don’t know, but I do know that 4 points is way too many
Steelers +4 (-110)
Risk 1 Unit to win 0.91
Dallas @ Minnesota 3:25 pm CST
(Cowboys -1.5, O/U 49)
I have another confession… I am worried that this is going to become me being a dog chasing their tail with this Dallas team
The line does not make sense. Dallas threw away that game last week against the Packers. Green Bay did nothing special to win, Dallas just sucked.
Minnesota won an incredible game against the best team in the league in Buffalo.
Vikings as home UNDERDOGS makes NO SENSE
That’s why you have to take the Cowboys
They are getting it back together, going out, and securing a win that will show they should be possible contenders for the 1 seed in the NFC
Dallas -1.5 (-107)
Risk 1 Unit to win 0.93
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