The Bets: Sunday 2/12/23
Archie is in my head… and he’s 100% correct.
I’m just not built to bet on basketball successfully. So, with that being said, the Super Bowl may be my funeral for football gambling as well as gambling until Baseball… Or Playoffs for the NBA.
I will still be out here blogging my ass off, just more ignorant “The Takes” blogs rather than “The Bets”
I’m not trying to lose more money than I have!
Let’s get this out of the way… Two weeks ago was the last time I blogged, and it was successful. A 2-1 Sunday gave us 1.22 Units on our total giving us….
+0.78 Units (+3.29 Lifetime)
We are in the Black again, and the Super Bowl is my fucking jam. I will explain this more in the next section, but I have a bet that I have been successfully predicting the past 20 years and it is guaranteed money. Always bet responsibly… But not now. Put your whole future on the coin toss.
Check out all of my plays on my Action Network mobile page!
Kansas City vs. Philadelphia 2:00 pm CST
(Eagles -1.5, O/U 50.5)
There are so many angles to play here in this game. It’s the Super Bowl, so let’s start with the most important bet…. The coin toss.
I am a Super Bowl coin toss expert. I don’t know what kind of black magic voodoo shit goes on in my family bloodline, but we have been gifted with this power. In the past 20 years, the family from the Zabe household is 18-2 on the coin toss. Always bet responsibly but put your house on this year’s toss…
With Heads!!
Now back to the game.
Patrick Mahomes, the best Quarterback in the NFL, and debatably the most dominant Quarterback in NFL history, is an underdog. I was floored when I saw the opening line of +2.5, but it makes complete sense
I was ready to see the Chiefs be favored by a field goal and put my first child on the line with Philly, but Vegas didn’t disappoint. I’m not sure where to go from there.
A weird comparison here, but this game reminds me of Superbowl 50. Lightning offensive Carolina vs. a Strong defensive Denver.
The big offense of Carolina was favored by a field goal here, but the Broncos shut them down winning 24-10. I can see Kansas City falling into the same trap Cam and the Panthers did seven years ago.
Offense sells tickets, defense wins championships. A motto as true as can be, but god dammit I don’t want to bet against the best Quarterback.
Take Heads, for sure. Kansas City will score, but I can see Philly holding them to only 2 Touchdowns and a handful of field goals, while Jalen Hurts will have all day in the pocket with that BEAST of an offensive line.
Alright let’s make the picks here… Philly ML is the play, I’m not giving up any points in this matchup…
Chiefs over 1.5 field goals is also the move, Philly may bend against Mahomes, but I don’t see them breaking. Thus, forcing the Chiefs to kick.
And give me the over, fuck it let’s have some fun!
Coin Toss Result: HEADS (-103)
Risk 3 Units to win
Philadelphia ML (-122)
Risk 1 Unit to win
Kansas City Over 1.5 Field Goals (-118)
Risk 1.5 Units to win
Kansas City/Philadelphia OVER 50.5 (-110)
Risk 1 Unit to win
Zabe’s Futures
In this section, I will keep track of any futures that I will be placing for The Blog.
December 11, 2022: CASHED
Georgia to win the NCAAF Championship (-130)
Risk 4 Units to win 3.08
Zabe’s Past
2022 Total (October start): +2.51 Units
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Confused by what all these numbers mean in “The Bets”?
Check out Behind the Blog to learn a little more about what this all means! It’s really not that complicated!