The Bets: Thursday 3/23/23
Let’s get this out of the way… I lost hard the last time I wrote a “The Bets” blog and was down -4.09 Units bringing the blog’s total to….
-3.31 Units (-0.8 Lifetime)
It is March… March Madness… Basketball is being played and that is all that matters.
And yes, real basketball, not that shit you see at the “professional” level. I am fully convinced if the NBA played by ACTUAL Basketball rules and was held to the same standard that 19-year-old kids are held to then it would look completely different.
Teams would be built differently and the playoff picture would be flipped on its head if these lazy fucks were told to play by the rules set in place a century ago… but I digress.
Let’s get into the first day of the Sweet 16. I’m low-key on fire after hitting a six-leg parlay last weekend valued at 31 units from a 1 unit bet.
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#7 Michigan State vs. #3 Kansas State 5:30 pm CST
(MSU -1.5, O/U 138.5)
I have been a long-time Izzo hater. 2021 he blew an 11 point halftime lead to UCLA (Eventual Final 4) and I never forgave him since I put 10 units on the dumb ass that night.
But he is now on fire. You don’t bet against Izzo…. as an underdog…
He gets the boys going when everyone has them counted out and he shocks the world… but today he is a favorite.
This is not good for the Spartans. Kansas State has been doubted all tournament long. This is March, don’t overthink it with Izzo here. Take KSU to win the game, it’ll be a good one.
KSU ML (+110)
Risk 1 Unit to win 1.1
#8 Arkansas vs #4 UConn
(UConn -3.5, O/U 139.5)
Muss and Arkansas are so raw, but let’s make this short and sweet. UConn is my second favorite team remaining. They are the fourth favorite in Vegas’ eyes behind Bama, Houston, and UCLA respectively. Bama is the only team better in my ‘professional’ opinion.
Now I’m talking myself into placing a few futures. A Bama-UConn final sounds too easy, even though I picked Houston in most of my brackets…
UConn can do it all. Sanogo is the best big man in the tournament while Hawkins and Newton can just hit shots.
Don’t get me wrong, Arkansas will lead in the second half at some points, but they will not be able to contain the beast.
UConn -3.5 (-110)
Risk 1 Unit to win 0.91
#9 FAU vs #4 Tennessee
(Tenn -5.5, O/U 129.5)
Similar logic to the Spartans, Tennessee is a team that is amazing when they do not have expectations.
Now, they are a team that has beaten the red-hot Duke Bluedevils and are going against a 9 seed in the Sweet 16. They are expected to get this game done and over with and move on to the Elite Eight.
But just like Izzo, Rick Barnes folds under the expectations. FAU with the points is too easy. Take the ML as well. The Owls are still playing with a chip on their shoulder and a fire under them. If the game is officiated fairly (Unlike the Tenn-Duke game) then this is an easy ML for the Owls
Even with shit officiating, I expect the Owls to cover here easily.
FAU +5.5 (-110)
Risk 1 Unit to win 0.91
Zabe’s Futures
In this section, I will keep track of any futures that I will be placing for The Blog.
December 11, 2022: CASHED
Georgia to win the NCAAF Championship (-130)
Risk 4 Units to win 3.08
Zabe’s Past
2022 Total (October start): +2.51 Units
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