The Bets: Saturday 10/29/22
“Zabe, does your blog offer a mail-in rebate?”
That was the best message I saw after a shitty Thursday Night Football debut, with the Ravens losing the first half, and the Bucs losing the game… Oops!
Thursday’s Blog went -1.5 Units, bringing The Blogs total to…..
+4.92 Units
… beginners luck is dead, let’s ride with some College Football baby
If you want to see my Full Card (it is gross) please check out my Action Network mobile page!
I have a disgusting amount of real plays, but every Saturday I am going to limit the blog to 5 Plays Only. Hopefully, this proves to myself I need to limit it more often
Notre Dame @ Syracuse 11:00am CST
Syracuse just put on a SHOW last week almost upsetting the Clemson Tigers and ending the longest home winning streak in the NCAA, now they have to host the Fighting Irish who are VERY underwhelming this year.
I’ll keep this one short and sweet, Notre Dame sucks, but are +1.5 and it is going to be hard for Syracuse to get back up and perform after a heartbreaking loss.
Notre Dame +1.5 (-107)
Risk 1 Unit to win 0.93
Illinois @ Nebraska 2:30 pm CST
Both teams coming off a bye. Well-rested and ready to go, it comes down strictly to talent and coaching.
Nebraska has very minimal BIG 10 talent, the only reason they have a few wins is strictly trying to show their interim coach, Micky Joseph, that they were good in high school, they swear!
Bret Bielema changes boys to men, and they are going to be VIOLENT on Saturday. Just look at this guy, he mows his own lawn before the games on Saturday I bet
Illinois -7.5 (-107)
Risk 1 Unit to win 0.93
Oklahoma State @ Kansas State 2:30 pm CST
DING DING DING We got ourselves the blog’s first DAILY DOUBLE!! What the fuck is that you ask? Well, you Jeoporday!-less swine, it is when I can risk up to 2 Units on a game, and I am making this one a TRUE Daily Double
I am looking at the total on these games. Now, I want to be clear, you NEVER bet trends. I don’t give a fuck if you found something that happens 70% of the time in gambling unless it is the service academy under.
You always bet the numbers and let trends either confirm or tell you to not bet it at all.
Let’s look at what happened when these teams have a total of 50 or higher.
That’s right, whenever the total is above 50, the teams have gone over in both of their past 5 games. Now, I already liked the over of 56, now I LOVE it
If you’re only betting on one game Saturday, make it this one
Oklahoma State/Kansas State OVER 56 (-112)
Risk 2 Units to win 1.79
Kentucky @ Tennessee 6:00 pm CST
This is my favorite game today from a fan’s perspective. I have been emotionally attached to Tennessee all year. I also had Tennessee ML against Bama so I feel like we have a personal relationship the Volunteers and I
Kentucky and I are in bed too. I love this football team and had a bet on both the Wildcats and Volunteers in hopes one would make the college football playoffs.
Looks like Tennessee is my only hope now.
With that being said, I don’t think Kentucky is a whole 11.5 points WORSE than Tennessee. I’ll be rooting for Tennessee to win, but I know Kentucky is going to keep it close
Kentucky +11.5 (-107)
Risk 1 Unit to win 0.93
San Diego State @ Fresno State 9:30 pm CST
Last game for the blog, and another quick explanation.
Last week, Fresno was favorites of 9.5 against New Mexico and won 41-9
Now Fresno is favorites of 10 against San Diego State
San Diego State is SO much better than New Mexico, the fact the spread is a half-point more is insulting
Fresno will be hosting, and expect this to be a sleepwalk. A last-minute score will decide this game instead
Sand Diego State +10 (-107)
Risk 1 Unit to win 0.93
Lastly, shout out to “Archie” for looking out for this. Sorry I’m very late, but better late than never bud. I’ll be better
